AN SNP landslide is predicted in Renfrewshire at next month’s General Election, with the party ‘pinching’ voters from both Labour and the Conservatives.

But there are also signs some residents may be switching loyalty to the Lib Dems and the Brexit Party as they become frustrated by a lack of progress over the UK’s planned withdrawal from the European Union.

According to political consultancy Electoral Calculus, SNP man Gavin Newlands will hold onto his Paisley and Renfrewshire North seat with 39.7 per cent of the vote – up from 37.4 per cent in 2017.

Labour, which will be represented by Alison Taylor, are predicted to lose appeal in the area, with the party forecast to get 22.8 per cent of the vote, compared to 31.8 per cent two years ago.

The Gazette:

And the Tories seem set to lose backers to the Brexit Party and the Lib Dems, with the former expected to get 5.3 per cent of the vote and the latter, represented by Ross Stalker, forecast to clinch 9.8 per cent.

The Tories, for whom Julie Pirone is standing, are only tipped to get just under 20 per cent of the vote in this seat, compared to 27.5 per cent at the polls last time.

Electoral Calculus predicts Mr Newlands has a 71 per cent chance of retaining his seat, with strong support in Erskine, Inchinnan, Renfrew, Houston and Linwood.

Mhairi Black is expected to dominate for the SNP in Paisley and Renfrewshire South, with a predicted 42.9 per cent of the vote.

In 2017, she edged out Labour’s Alison Dowling, with just over 2,000 votes separating them.

The Gazette:

But Labour, represented this time by Moira Ramage, are tipped to experience a decline in popularity here, winning a predicted 25.6 per cent of votes, compared to 34.6 per cent last time out.


The Gazette: It is predicted that many leave voters will switch from the Tories to Nigel Farage's Brexit Party It is predicted that many leave voters will switch from the Tories to Nigel Farage's Brexit Party

The Tories, represented by Mark Dougan, are forecast to win 11.7 per cent this time round, having gained 19.5 per cent last time.

Again, the Brexit Party are expected to clinch 5.3 per cent of the vote, while the Lib Dems, represented by Jack Clark, are forecast to get 9.8 per cent.

Ms Black is predicted to have a 77 per cent chance of winning the seat, with much of her support coming from Johnstone and the south of Paisley.

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